| 2009: The year of living fecklessly |
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| Wednesday, 30 December 2009 | |
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Edited version of an article by Charles Krauthammer, Washington Post, Friday, December 25, 2009 On Tuesday, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad did not just reject President Obama's latest feckless floating nuclear deadline. He spat on it. So ends 2009, the year of "engagement," of the extended hand, of the gratuitous apology -- and of spinning centrifuges, two-stage rockets and a secret enrichment facility that brought Iran materially closer to becoming a nuclear power. We lost a year. But it was not just any year. It was a year of spectacularly squandered opportunity. In Iran, it was a year of revolution, beginning with a contested election and culminating this week in huge demonstrations mourning the death of the dissident Grand Ayatollah Hossein Ali Montazeri. Obama responded by distancing himself from this new birth of freedom. Then relentless engagement with the murderous regime. With offer after offer the United States conferred legitimacy on a regime desperate to regain it. With this weakening dictatorship desperate for affirmation, why is the United States repeatedly offering just such affirmation?
Apart from ostracizing and delegitimizing these gangsters, we should be encouraging and reinforcing the demonstrators. Forget about human rights. Assume you care only about the nuclear issue. How to defuse it? Negotiations are going nowhere. The only real hope is regime change. The revered and widely supported Montazeri had actually issued a fatwa against nuclear weapons. And even if a successor government were to act otherwise, the nuclear threat would be highly attenuated because it's not the weapon but the regime that creates the danger. A nonaggressive pro-Western Tehran would completely change the strategic equation and make the threat minimal and manageable. What should we do? Pressure from without -- cutting off gasoline supplies, for example -- to complement and reinforce pressure from within. The pressure should be aimed not at changing the current regime's nuclear policy but at helping change the regime itself. Give the kind of covert support we gave Solidarity in Poland during the 1980s. But of equal importance is full-throated denunciation of the regime's savagery and persecution. In detail -- highlighting cases, the way Western leaders adopted the causes of Sharansky and Andrei Sakharov during the rise of the dissident movement that helped bring down the Soviet empire. Will this revolution succeed? The odds are long but the reward immense. Its ripple effects would extend from Afghanistan to Iraq to Lebanon and Gaza where Iran's proxies, Hezbollah and Hamas, are arming for war. One way or the other, Iran will dominate 2010. Either there will be an Israeli attack or Iran will arrive at -- or cross -- the nuclear threshold. Unless revolution intervenes. Which is why to fail to do everything in our power to support this popular revolt is unforgivable. |


